* * BPA Single-Elim Final * *
Brad Solberg (IJN; Bid 3.5) vs. Nicholas Markevivh (USN) 

The I-Boat Raid, CPO Withdrawal, and West Coast Bases adjustments are in play.

Brad and Nick are playing two games -- one as each side -- one after the other. The two-game total PoC will determine the champion. No die rolls will be shared between the games.

Jump to End Game Comments
Jump to the Second Game

Turn 1

IJN Comments: First round air-raids at Pearl looked grim as IJN failed to bottom any ships, but the switch of dice servers was kind to me and I ended with 7 BB underwater. Indonesia was not a clean sweep as a damaged Prince of Wales escaped.

More importantly 3 CV showed in Hawaii, allowing USN to put a lot of pressure on Indonesia turn 3. The weak USN surface fleet and reduced threat to the northeast balanced against the Indo threat should make for an interesting turn 2. Nothing showed in CPO.

USN Report: The IJN sent almost all of its cruisers to the Central Pacific, but none of the USN carriers appeared there. Instead groups W and Z arrived in the Hawaiian Islands, and groups X and Y will appear on turn 2.

The 5th A.F. was shot down and the Repulse was sunk in Indonesia; the Prince of Wales escaped with 3 points of damage. Seven American battleships were sunk at Pearl Harbor. A damaged Tennessee, two cruisers, and the 7th A.F. escaped to fight on turn 2.

IJN Returns:
Ashigara and Atago to Yokosuka Navy Yard.
All others to Truk.

USN Returns:
British to Singapore.
De Ruyter to Samoa.
Australia, Canberra, Houston, Louisville, and Pensacola to New Hebrides.

=======================================================================
POC RECORD       Area  IJN/USN   1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
     Japanese Islands   3   3   IJN
     Aleutian Islands   0   1   IJN
  North Pacific Ocean   1   1   ---
Central Pacific Ocean   1   0   IJN
     Hawaiian Islands   2   3   ---
     Marshall Islands   1   1   IJN
     Marianas Islands   2   1   IJN
            Indonesia   3   1   IJN
  South Pacific Ocean   2   1   IJN
         U.S. Mandate   2   2   USN
            Coral Sea   2   2   USN
         Indian Ocean   2   0   USN
        Bay of Bengal   2   1   USN
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
         IJN Subtotal           +12
         USN Subtotal            -5
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
              Net POC            +7
       Cumulative POC            +7
=======================================================================
AREAS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Japanese Islands (3/3; IJN):
4-4-4 Fuso
4-4-4 Hyuga
4-4-4 Ise

Aleutian Islands (0/1; None):
1+1-7 Aoba
0-3-3 Yokosuka

North Pacific Ocean (1/1; None):

Central Pacific Ocean (1/0; USN):
0-1-4(1+) Hosho (SR=4; r)
4-4-4 Yamashiro (SR=5; r)
1+2-7 Ashigara
1+2-7 Atago
1+2-7 Chokai
1+2-7 Haguro
1+2-7 Maya
1+2-7 Myoko
1+2-7 Nachi
1+2-7 Takao
1+1-8 Chikuma
1+1-8 Kumano
1+1-8 Mikuma
1+1-8 Mogami
1+1-8 Suzuya
1+1-8 Tone
1+1-7 Furutaka
1+1-7 Kako
1+1-7 Kinugasa
1+0-* I-Boat

Hawaiian Islands (2/3; USN):
1-3-8(4+) Shokaku (r)
1-3-8(4+) Zuikaku (r)
1-4-6(4+) Akagi (r)
1-4-5(4+) Kaga (r)
1-2-8(3+) Soryu (r)
1-1-8(3+) Hiryu (r)
0-1-5(2+) Ryujo (r)
0-0-5(2+) Zuiho (r)
4-3-6 Haruna (r)
4-3-6 Hiei (r)
4-3-6 Kirishima (r)
4-3-6 Kongo (r)
1-1-7 Indianapolis [retreats to Johnston Island]
1-1-7 Minneapolis [retreats to Johnston Island]

Marshall Islands (1/1; IJN):
3-4-* 26 AirFlot

Marianas Islands (2/1; IJN):
5-5-4 Mutsu (SR=5; r)
5-5-4 Nagato (SR=3)
1+0-7 Kitakami
1+0-7 Oi

Indonesia (3/1; USN):
3-4-* 21 AirFlot
3-4-* 22 AirFlot
3-4-* 23 AirFlot
3-4-* 24 AirFlot
4-5-6. Prince of Wales [3d; retreats to Singapore]
3-3-6. Repulse [sunk]
2-4-* 5th A.F. [shot down; returns turn 3]

South Pacific Ocean (2/1; USN):
3-4-* 25 AirFlot

U.S. Mandate (2/2; USN):
1-1-7 Houston (r)
1-1-7 Pensacola
1-1-7. Australia

Coral Sea (2/2; USN):
1-1-7 Louisville
1-1-7. Canberra

Indian Ocean (2/0; USN):
1-1-7. Exeter
1-1-7. De Ruyter

Bay of Bengal (2/1; USN):
1-2-4.(1) Hermes
4-4-3. Revenge

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
PORTS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Yokosuka Navy Yard (6; IJN):

Truk (IJN):

Saigon (IJN):

Singapore (USN):

Pearl Harbor (USN):
4-4-3 Nevada [sunk]
4-4-3 Arizona [sunk]
5-5-3 West Virginia [sunk]
4-5-3 Tennessee [3d; leaves port; retreats to Johnston Island]
4-4-3 Oklahoma [sunk]
5-5-3 Maryland [sunk]
4-5-3 California [sunk]
4-4-3 Pennsylvania [sunk]
1-1-7 New Orleans [leaves port; retreats to Johnston Island]
1-1-7 San Francisco [leaves port; retreats to Johnston Island]
2-4-* 7th A.F. [leaves port; retreats to Australia]

Samoa (USN):

Australia (1; USN):

Ceylon (1; USN):

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
BASES
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Okinawa (IJN):

Attu (USN):

Dutch Harbor (USN):

Midway (USN):

Johnston Island (USN):

Kwajalein (IJN):

Maloelap (IJN):

Saipan (IJN):

Philippines (USN):

Lae (USN):

Guadalcanal (USN):

New Hebrides (USN):

Port Moresby (USN):

Andaman Islands (USN):

=======================================================================
REINFORCEMENTS/RETURNS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Location Uncertain (1 = CP, 2-3 = HI, 4-6 = Turn 2)
Group W (DR=2, HI)
0-2-7(4+) Enterprise [retreats to Australia]
1-1-7 Salt Lake City [retreats to Johnston Island]
1-1-7 Northampton [retreats to Johnston Island]
1-1-7 Chester [retreats to Johnston Island]
Group X (DR=5, T2)
1-3-7(4+) Lexington
1-1-7 Chicago
1-1-7 Portland
1-1-7 Astoria
Group Y (DR=6, T2)
1-3-7(4+) Saratoga
Group Z (DR=2, HI)
0-2-7(4+) Hornet [retreats to Australia]
0-2-7(4+) Yorktown [retreats to Australia]
1-1-7 Vincennes [retreats to Johnston Island]
1-1-7 Quincy [retreats to Johnston Island]

=======================================================================

Notes:
Raiding ships are marked with (r).
Required speed rolls are shown as (SR).
Repairs are indicated within parenthesis, e.g. (repairs 2d).
Combat results are indicated within brackets, e.g. [2d; disabled].
Returning air and land units arrive at any friendly port.

Turn 2

IJN Comments: Nick summed up what happened well. Normally with a big threat to Indonesia I will do a 2 or 3 area attack. However, USN placed its LBA in home areas and that made the threat to Indo weaker and the risk of doing a multi-area attack higher.

In a one-area I am usually satisfied if USN can save only one of Lae or Midway at the risk of about 9-10 bonus shots to his CV (or some mix of LBA replacing bonus shots at 2-1). This will normally cause the loss of 2-3 USN CV and often a brit or two, since a somewhat weak Indo is often the result of this strategy. It usually costs me about 3 CVL and a CV to do, if he tries to save CPO and a 2-4 LBA if he goes to the west.

This time, though, I rolled poorly and USN rolled well. Even without a pure night round in CPO, the dice I rolled there would not have sunk anything. If he had gone to both Indonesia and to either Marshalls or CPO the same dice would have cost me Singapore and likely the game. I'm still not totally happy with the strategy, I've been on the wrong end of the standard deviation of the dice too often. I'm still waiting for the game where 10 bonus dice get me 3 CV on turn 2.

So as a result IJN is in a hole. Here's the strategic situation:

Bases: Not bad, west locked down, only Dutch/Midway in the east still blue and Pearl likely to fall.

Threats: Bad. Two CV in Midway, a blue flag on Hawaii and no KO threat. I've lost enough CV that I am not likely to take an area vs LBA without a base, KO in 4 is also hard to threaten.

POC: 12 is about normal for a 1-area turn 2. 13 was what I was expecting

Attrition: On surface, the loss of 3 BB turn 2 was 1-2 more than I expected. Since I had a decent Pearl only slight edge to USN. In the air, 2CV+2CVL+1 CVL crippled in exchange for 1 CV and Hermes is very bad. Even one more USN CV and I'd be OK, although edge would still be to USN. The failure of 12 LBA shots to remove one Brit 2-banger means I have also failed to eliminate British air, which is usually the compensation for risking a CV in Indonesia. This will complicate turn 4 if I get there.

So strong edge to USN, but IJN is not yet dead. A few good die rolls, especially vs his CV and LBA could turn this around, as my base situation is still solid. One more disaster and I'll probably be playing the second game for fun, instead of for the championship.

USN Report: During turn 2 the Japanese LBA held Indonesia and the South Pacific (split 4 and 2) while most of the IJN surface fleet (3x444, 4x436, 6x127, 4x117, and 033), together with the four best IJN carriers, controlled the Hawaiian Islands. Smaller IJN forces were sent to the Coral Sea (2x118), the U.S. Mandate (4x118), Marshalls (0152, 0141, 2x554, and I-boat), Central Pacific (1283, 0052, 444, and 127), Aleutians (1183, 0052, and 127), Marianas (107 and 033), and Japanese Islands (107).

Allied LBA was deployed to control the Coral Sea and the U.S. Mandate (sinking one of the fast IJN cruisers). One LBA was sent to the Marianas to stop the invasion of the Philippines, but the Sasebo SNLF made an unopposed landing during an initial night action.

The British fleet sailed boldly into Indonesia and succeeded in sinking the Junyo while only losing the Hermes during one round of day action. The Junyo had been sent to reinforce the IJN LBA in Indonesia due to the presence of three American carriers in Australia. The four IJN LBA only managed to disable one of the British fleet carriers. The British then withdrew in good order to Ceylon.

The American fleet was divided into two carrier task forces and sent to the Central Pacific (2x1374, 453, 9x117) and the Marshall Islands (3x0274, 2x453, 6x117). There they managed to sink three Japanese light carriers (Soryu, Zuiho, and Hosho), disable the Ryujo with maximum damage, sink three enemy battleships (Mutsu, Nagato, and Yamashiro), and disable a heavy Japanese cruiser. The only American casualty was the Yorktown, which took 1 point of damage from a Japanese airstrike and then succumbed to a deadly torpedo from the I-boat. Before it was sunk the Yamashiro managed to disable the lone patrolling American cruiser in the Central Pacific, but the De Ruyter remained on patrol in the Marshalls at the end of the turn.

A lone American cruiser remained in control of the North Pacific, but the Australian cruisers patrolling the South Pacific were roughly handled by the Japanese AirFlots (Canberra was sunk; Australia was disabled).

The POC is now +12 in favor of the IJN. Attu, Singapore, Lae, the Philippines, and Johnston Island were converted to IJN control.

IJN Returns:
127 Ashigara to Attu
444 Fuso to Japanese Islands
2x444 and all other units outside Hawaiian Islands to Truk
All others from Hawaiian Islands to Johnston Island

USN Returns:
British to Ceylon
Astoria to Dutch Harbor
All ships from CPO to Midway
Enterprise and Hornet to Australia
All other ships from Marshalls to Samoa

=======================================================================
POC RECORD       Area  IJN/USN   1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
     Japanese Islands   3   3   IJN  IJN
     Aleutian Islands   0   1   IJN  IJN
  North Pacific Ocean   1   1   ---  USN
Central Pacific Ocean   1   0   IJN  ---
     Hawaiian Islands   2   3   ---  IJN
     Marshall Islands   1   1   IJN  USN
     Marianas Islands   2   1   IJN  IJN
            Indonesia   3   1   IJN  IJN
  South Pacific Ocean   2   1   IJN  IJN
         U.S. Mandate   2   2   USN  USN
            Coral Sea   2   2   USN  USN
         Indian Ocean   2   0   USN  USN
        Bay of Bengal   2   1   USN  USN
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
         IJN Subtotal           +12  +12
         USN Subtotal            -5   -7
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
              Net POC            +7   +5
       Cumulative POC            +7  +12
=======================================================================
AREAS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Japanese Islands (3/3; IJN):
1+0-7 Oi

Aleutian Islands (0/1; IJN):
1-1-8(3+) Hiryu (r)
0-0-5(2+) Shoho (r)
1+2-7 Ashigara

North Pacific Ocean (1/1; None):
1-1-7 Astoria

Central Pacific Ocean (1/0; IJN):
1-2-8(3+) Soryu (r) [sunk]
0-0-5(2+) Zuiho (r) [sunk]
4-4-4 Yamashiro (r) [4d; sunk]
1+2-7 Atago [disabled to Truk]
1-3-7(4+) Lexington (r)
1-3-7(4+) Saratoga (r)
4-5-3 Tennessee [3d] (r)
1-1-7 Chester [disabled to Midway]
1-1-7 Indianapolis (r)
1-1-7 Minneapolis (r)
1-1-7 New Orleans (r)
1-1-7 Northampton (r)
1-1-7 Quincy (r)
1-1-7 Salt Lake City (r)
1-1-7 San Francisco (r)
1-1-7 Vincennes (r)

Hawaiian Islands (2/3; None):
1-4-6(4+) Akagi (r)
1-4-5(4+) Kaga (r)
1-3-8(4+) Shokaku (r)
1-3-8(4+) Zuikaku (r)
4-4-4 Fuso (r)
4-4-4 Hyuga (r)
4-4-4 Ise (r)
4-3-6 Haruna (r)
4-3-6 Hiei (r)
4-3-6 Kirishima (r)
4-3-6 Kongo (r)
1+2-7 Chokai (r)
1+2-7 Haguro (r)
1+2-7 Maya (r)
1+2-7 Myoko (r)
1+2-7 Nachi (r)
1+2-7 Takao (r)
1+1-7 Aoba
1+1-7 Furutaka
1+1-7 Kako
1+1-7 Kinugasa
0-3-3 Yokosuka [invades Johnston Island; returns turn 4]

Marshall Islands (1/1; IJN):
0-1-5(2+) Ryujo (r) [1d; disabled to Yokosuka Navy Yard]
0-1-4(1+) Hosho (r) [sunk]
5-5-4 Mutsu [sunk]
5-5-4 Nagato [sunk]
1+0-* I-Boat
0-2-7(4+) Enterprise (r)
0-2-7(4+) Hornet (r)
0-2-7(4+) Yorktown (r) [sunk]
4-5-3 Idaho (r)
4-5-3 New Mexico (r)
1-1-7 Chicago (r)
1-1-7 Houston (r)
1-1-7 Louisville (r)
1-1-7 Pensacola (r)
1-1-7 Portland (r)
1-1-7. De Ruyter

Marianas Islands (2/1; IJN):
1+0-7 Kitakami
0-3-3 Sasebo [invades Philippines; returns turn 4]
2-4-* 7th A.F. [retreats to Australia]

Indonesia (3/1; IJN):
1-2-4(3+) Junyo (r) [sunk]
3-4-* 23 AirFlot
3-4-* 24 AirFlot
3-4-* 25 AirFlot
3-4-* 26 AirFlot
0-2-7.(2) Formidable (r) [retreats to Ceylon]
0-2-7.(2) Indomitable (r) [disabled to Ceylon]
1-2-4.(1) Hermes (r) [sunk]
4-5-6. Prince of Wales [3d; retreats to Ceylon]
4-4-4. Warspite (SR=3) [retreats to Ceylon]
4-4-3. Ramillies (SR=4; r) [retreats to Ceylon]
4-4-3. Resolution (SR=4; r) [retreats to Ceylon]
4-4-3. Revenge [retreats to Ceylon]
1-1-7. Dorsetshire [retreats to Ceylon]
1-1-7. Exeter [retreats to Ceylon]

South Pacific Ocean (2/1; IJN):
3-4-* 21 AirFlot
3-4-* 22 AirFlot
1-1-7. Australia [disabled to Samoa]
1-1-7. Canberra [sunk]

U.S. Mandate (2/2; USN):
1+1-8 Chikuma [retreats to Truk]
1+1-8 Kumano [retreats to Truk]
1+1-8 Mikuma [retreats to Truk]
1+1-8 Mogami [sunk]
2-4-* 11th A.F.

Coral Sea (2/2; USN):
1+1-8 Suzuya [retreats to Truk]
1+1-8 Tone [retreats to Truk]
2-4-* 10th A.F.

Indian Ocean (2/0; USN):
1-1-7. Cornwall

Bay of Bengal (2/1; USN):
4-4-3. Royal Sovereign

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
PORTS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Yokosuka Navy Yard (6; IJN):

Truk (IJN):

Saigon (IJN):

Singapore (USN):  converted to IJN control by isolation

Pearl Harbor (3; USN):

Samoa (USN):

Australia (1; USN):

Ceylon (1; USN):

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
BASES
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Okinawa (IJN):

Attu (USN):  converted to IJN control by isolation

Dutch Harbor (USN):

Midway (USN):

Johnston Island (USN):  converted to IJN control by Yokosuka SNLF

Kwajalein (IJN):

Maloelap (IJN):

Saipan (IJN):

Philippines (USN):  converted to IJN control by Sasebo SNLF

Lae (USN):  converted to IJN control by isolation

Guadalcanal (USN):

New Hebrides (USN):

Port Moresby (USN):

Andaman Islands (USN):

=======================================================================
SUNK SHIPS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Turn 1:
5-5-3 Maryland
5-5-3 West Virginia
4-5-3 California
4-4-3 Arizona
4-4-3 Nevada
4-4-3 Oklahoma
4-4-3 Pennsylvania
3-3-6. Repulse

Turn 3

USN Report: On turn 3 the IJN abandoned Indonesia and concentrated most of its forces in the Hawaiian Islands to ensure the capture of Pearl Harbor. Ten cruisers patrolled in the Hawaiian Islands, while only single cruisers or battleships patrolled the Coral Sea, U.S. Mandate, South Pacific, Marianas, Japanese Islands, and Aleutians. Japanese LBA was deployed in Japan (1), Marianas (1), Marshalls (2), and Hawaii (2). The Hiyo (1243+) escorted the Kure SNLF to the Aleutians in an attempt to invade Dutch Harbor, and one of the IJN battlecruisers raided the North Pacific to break USN control.

The unopposed British fleet patrolled Indonesia, Bay of Bengal, and Indian Ocean. The two remaining Allied cruisers patrolled the Marshalls. Single American cruisers were sent to patrol the North Pacific and Central Pacific. Three American LBA were placed on CAP over Pearl Harbor, while the other three Allied LBA were deployed in the U.S. Mandate, Coral Sea, and South Pacific. The northern USN carrier task force (2xCV, 1xBB, 8xCA) sortied into the Aleutians to protect Dutch Harbor. The southern task force was split between the South Pacific and the Coral Sea.

In two rounds of combat, the IJN lost two carriers, one battleship, and two cruisers. The Kure SNLF was disabled from the Aleutians. The USN lost one carrier, one cruiser, and three LBA. Fortunately for the USN ships and Marines in Pearl Harbor, not only did the LBA on CAP sink the Shokaku, but they also disabled the Hiryu and Zuikaku, leaving only the Akagi and Kaga to raid battleship row for the second time in three turns. Only the Colorado was sunk as the North Carolina, Mississippi, and both the 1st and 2nd Marines escaped to Australia or Samoa.

At the end of the turn the IJN held the four island areas across the middle of the Pacific Ocean (Japanese, Marianas, Marshall, and Hawaiian), while the USN controlled the Allied southwest defense line (U.S. Mandate, South Pacific, Indonesia) and the Central Pacific. The IJN gained one POC and converted Pearl Harbor.

The arrival of American reinforcements on turn 4 is expected to give the USN an advantage in battleships, but the potent IJN cruiser force is still largely intact. The remaining IJN carriers (3xCV, 1xCVL, 2xCVE) will almost be matched by the four USN carriers and the remaining British carrier. The Japanese Special Naval Landing Forces will be at full strength, but the USN has two Marine Divisions ready for the island hopping campaign. The IJN will also have an advantage in LBA until this turn's American losses in the Hawaiian Islands are replaced on turn 5.

IJN Returns:
4x117, 3x436 to Pearl Harbor
Everything else to Truk

USN Returns:
LBA to Samoa
British to Ceylon
Chester to Midway
3xCA from Aleutians to Australia
BB and 4xCA from Aleutians to Dutch Harbor
All from South Pacific and Coral Sea to Guadalcanal

=======================================================================
POC RECORD       Area  IJN/USN   1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
     Japanese Islands   3   3   IJN  IJN  IJN
     Aleutian Islands   0   1   IJN  IJN  ---
  North Pacific Ocean   1   1   ---  USN  ---
Central Pacific Ocean   1   0   IJN  ---  USN
     Hawaiian Islands   2   3   ---  IJN  IJN
     Marshall Islands   1   1   IJN  USN  IJN
     Marianas Islands   2   1   IJN  IJN  IJN
            Indonesia   3   1   IJN  IJN  USN
  South Pacific Ocean   2   1   IJN  IJN  USN
         U.S. Mandate   2   2   USN  USN  USN
            Coral Sea   2   2   USN  USN  USN
         Indian Ocean   2   0   USN  USN  USN
        Bay of Bengal   2   1   USN  USN  USN
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
         IJN Subtotal           +12  +12   +8
         USN Subtotal            -5   -7   -7
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
              Net POC            +7   +5   +1
       Cumulative POC            +7  +12  +13
=======================================================================
AREAS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Japanese Islands (3/3; IJN):
4-4-4 Fuso
3-4-* 21 AirFlot

Aleutian Islands (0/1; IJN):
1-2-4(3+) Hiyo (r) [sunk]
1+2-7 Ashigara [retreats; pursued; sunk]
0-3-3 Kure [disabled to Truk]
1+0-* I-Boat
1-3-7(4+) Lexington (r) [disabled to Dutch Harbor]
1-3-7(4+) Saratoga (r) [sunk]
4-5-3 Tennessee [3d] (r)
1-1-7 Indianapolis (r) [sunk]
1-1-7 Minneapolis (r)
1-1-7 New Orleans (r)
1-1-7 Northampton (r)
1-1-7 Quincy (r)
1-1-7 Salt Lake City (r)
1-1-7 San Francisco (r)
1-1-7 Vincennes (r)

North Pacific Ocean (1/1; USN):
4-3-6 Kirishima (r)
1-1-7 Astoria [retreats to Dutch Harbor]

Central Pacific Ocean (1/0; None):
1-1-7 Chester

Hawaiian Islands (2/3; IJN):
1-4-6(4+) Akagi (r)
1-4-5(4+) Kaga (r)
1-3-8(4+) Shokaku (r) [sunk]
1-3-8(4+) Zuikaku (r) [disabled to Truk]
1-1-8(3+) Hiryu (r) [disabled to Truk]
0-0-5(2+) Shoho (r; SR=5; goes to Johnston Island)
6-9-5 Yamato (r; SR=1)
4-3-6 Haruna (r)
4-3-6 Hiei (r)
4-3-6 Kongo (r)
1+2-7 Atago (r)
1+2-7 Chokai
1+2-7 Haguro
1+2-7 Maya
1+2-7 Myoko
1+2-7 Nachi
1+2-7 Takao
1+1-8 Mikuma (r)
1+1-8 Suzuya (r)
1+1-8 Tone (r)
1+1-7 Aoba
1+1-7 Furutaka
1+1-7 Kako
1+1-7 Kinugasa
1+0-7 Kitakami (r)
1+0-7 Oi (r)
3-4-* 25 AirFlot
3-4-* 26 AirFlot
2-4-* 7th A.F. [shot down; returns turn 5]
2-4-* 10th A.F. [2d; shot down; returns turn 5]
2-4-* 11th A.F. [shot down; returns turn 5]

Marshall Islands (1/1; USN):
3-4-* 23 AirFlot
3-4-* 24 AirFlot
1-1-7. Australia [retreats to Samoa]
1-1-7. De Ruyter [disabled to Samoa]

Marianas Islands (2/1; IJN):
4-4-4 Hyuga
3-4-* 22 AirFlot

Indonesia (3/1; IJN):
0-2-7.(2) Formidable (r)
0-2-7.(2) Illustrious (r)
0-2-7.(2) Indomitable (r)
4-4-4. Valiant (SR=1)
4-4-4. Warspite (SR=2)
4-4-3. Ramillies (SR=6; r)
4-4-3. Resolution (SR=5; r)
4-4-3. Revenge (SR=6; r)
4-4-3. Royal Sovereign (SR=5; r)
1-1-7. Dorsetshire
1-1-7. Exeter

South Pacific Ocean (2/1; IJN):
4-4-4 Ise [sunk]
0-2-7(4+) Hornet (r)
4-5-3 Idaho (r)
4-5-3 New Mexico (r) [disabled to Guadalcanal]
2-4-* 5th A.F.

U.S. Mandate (2/2; USN):
1+1-8 Chikuma [retreats to Truk]
2-4-* RNZAF

Coral Sea (2/2; USN):
1+1-8 Kumano [sunk]
0-2-7(4+) Enterprise (r)
1-1-7 Chicago (r)
1-1-7 Houston (r)
1-1-7 Louisville (r)
1-1-7 Pensacola (r)
1-1-7 Portland (r)
2-4-* RAAF

Indian Ocean (2/0; USN):
1-1-7. Cornwall

Bay of Bengal (2/1; USN):
4-5-6. Prince of Wales [3d]

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
PORTS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Yokosuka Navy Yard (6; IJN):
0-1-5(2+) Ryujo (repairs 1 damage point)

Truk (IJN):

Saigon (IJN):

Singapore (IJN):

Pearl Harbor (6; USN):
5-6-5 North Carolina (r) [retreats to Australia]
5-5-3 Colorado (r) [sunk]
4-5-3 Mississippi (r) [retreats to Samoa]
0-4-3 1st Marines [retreats to Australia]
0-4-3 2nd Marines [retreats to Samoa]

Samoa (USN):

Australia (1; USN):

Ceylon (1; USN):

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
BASES
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Okinawa (IJN):

Attu (IJN):

Dutch Harbor (USN):

Midway (USN):

Johnston Island (IJN):

Kwajalein (IJN):

Maloelap (IJN):

Saipan (IJN):

Philippines (IJN):

Lae (IJN):

Guadalcanal (USN):

New Hebrides (USN):

Port Moresby (USN):

Andaman Islands (USN):

=======================================================================
SUNK SHIPS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Turn 1:
5-5-3 Maryland
5-5-3 West Virginia
4-5-3 California
4-4-3 Arizona
4-4-3 Nevada
4-4-3 Oklahoma
4-4-3 Pennsylvania
3-3-6. Repulse

Turn 2:
1-2-8(3+) Soryu
1-2-4(3+) Junyo
0-0-5(2+) Zuiho
0-1-4(1+) Hosho
5-5-4 Mutsu
5-5-4 Nagato
4-4-4 Yamashiro
1+1-8 Mogami
0-2-7(4+) Yorktown
1-2-4.(1) Hermes
1-1-7. Canberra

=======================================================================

Turn 4

IJN Report: This was a turn where I frankly needed good dice. So the challenge was to get the most out of any fortune I might have.

Goals were:

POC above 19
Northeast locked down
Save Indonesia
Hold as much of my Japan/Marianas/Marshalls/Hawaii perimeter as possible
Don't allow any more isolation base conversion threats
Do my best to counter the USN marines

I had enough fleet to cover all 3 northeast areas, if Nick was unwilling to face a large lap against the flag in Aleutians. I had enough LBA to put 2 in Indo and one in each other area. I had just enough BB left over to threaten Nick's patrollers under my LBA. The most critical areas (Japan/Hawaii) got a CVL to make them less appealing. Finally Kaga and Akagi were assigned to chase Nick's Marines.

Nick also made a patrolling error and I had to dispatch the I-Boat to punish him for it. Every POC counts! The big risks this turn were

1. Failing to convert Dutch Harbor (12 POC swing over the next few turns)
2. Failing to hold Indonesia (8 POC swing minimum between turns 4-5)

Either would cause me to resign. I felt I had to get some CV attrition as well, and stop at least one of his Marines to recover the position.

I got good luck but not quite enough to come all the way back. POC and Northeast goals were met, and Indo was held. Disabling the patroller in Coral made up for losing Marshalls, and the hot shooting in Marshalls gave me a little CV attrition. For the first time I actually gained a couple hulls in surface, sinking 3 CA and losing only 1 BB.

The key things that still give Nick the advantage are the survival of his entire Indonesia CV force (in spite of 18 shots), allowing him to threaten just about the entire board with 3 CV and a CVL. Combine that with free marine landings and sinking my two best CV without them getting a shot and my position remains precarious at best.

I gained a little ground this turn but next turn I will have to play my best *and* need better than average dice to hope to catch up. But I am a lot more hopeful than I was at the beginning of this turn.

USN Report: Most of the Japanese fleet (including all of the cruisers) was deployed in the Aleutians, the North Pacific, and the Central Pacific to support the invasions of Dutch Harbor and Midway Island. The Japanese LBA was deployed in Indonesia (2), the Japanese Islands (1), the Marianas (1), the Marshalls (1), and the Hawaiian Islands (1). In addition, an escort carrier and a battleship were sent to the Japanese Islands and the Hawaiian Islands, a battleship reinforced the Marianas, and a battlecruiser raided the Marshalls. The Kaga was sent to Indonesia and the Akagi to the South Pacific in response to the appearance of U.S. Marines in both of those areas.

The USN deployed cruisers to patrol the Aleutians, the Japanese Islands, the Marianas, the Marshalls, the Hawaiian Islands, and the Coral Sea. The British fleet patrolled the Bay of Bengal, the Indian Ocean, and Indonesia. Allied LBA was deployed in the U.S. Mandate (1), the South Pacific (2), the Central Pacific (1), and the North Pacific (1). The Lexington and its escorts raided into the Marshall Islands, while all of the other Allied carriers went to Indonesia. The two newest American battleships (with radar) deployed in the South Pacific, while the battleships and cruisers stationed at Guadalcanal sortied into the Marianas.

During the first round of combat the Allies lost three cruisers (in the Aleutians, the Japanese Islands, and the Hawaiian Islands). The Lexington was also sunk, but managed to shoot down the 26 AirFlot in the Marshalls. Both the Kaga and Akagi were sunk by gunfire during night actions, allowing the 1st Marines to invade the Philippines and the 2nd Marines to invade Lae without opposition. The action in the Marianas was inconclusive as the Japanese battleship and an American cruiser were disabled, and the rest of the American squadron retreated. The I-boat went to periscope depth in the Coral Sea and disabled the patrolling American cruiser, denying 2 POC to the USN.

On subsequent rounds the Kirishima was sunk in the Marshalls, but not before disabling the lone patrolling Allied cruiser. All of the Allied carriers in Indonesia were eventually disabled. In return they could only put 3 points of damage on one of the Japanese LBA. On 18 die rolls the LBA did not roll any sixes, but did get a lot of fives. The Allied carriers rolled 2 sixes in 22 attempts, but inflicted only 3 points of damage. Both sides were dissapointed by the lack of effective hits, but the IJN did maintain control of Indonesia and avoided the loss of Saigon and Singapore. This also helped the IJN increase its lead considerably to a total of 21 POC.

The IJN now has only 4 aircraft carriers (Zuikaku, Hiryu, Ryujo, and Shoho) and 6 battleships/battlecruisers, but still has 17 cruisers. Five Japanese LBA, one SNLF, and a new superbattleship (the Musashi) will be available for turn 5. The USN still has 3 fleet carriers and will have 2 British carriers on turn 5. Even after 4 of the British battleships are withdrawn, the Allied fleets will have a clear superiority in battlewagons. However, the remaining Allied cruisers (12 American, 5 British, and 1 Australian) are no match for the veteran IJN cruiser force. Fortunately, the USN will have all ten of its LBA on turn 5 and forward bases in Lae and the Philippines from which to deploy them.

IJN Comments: Nick's been handing me a pile of whup-ass. After a good turn 2 he pressed the advantage turn 3 and turn 4 I am reduced to putting opportunities for him all over the board in hopes that he takes some and gets a reversal of dice fortune.

On the other hand, he had to stop and think about his raiders this turn and he made his first minor error (one patroller in Coral where I-Boat could get in even if my raiders could not) at the beginning of the turn. So even if I'm going down, I'm going down swinging.

It is a bit less dramatic than trying to reverse fortune by going for a KO, but it is the same idea. If Nick's good-odds battle in Indo reverses on him, I'm back in the game. If not, I'm out by enough that our second game will almost certainly be for fun only. (and AREA) since I'd probably be playing allies with essentially an allied bid.

Need some of that patented Solberg tournament luck. Nows the time.

USN Comments: The placement of a cruiser in the Coral Sea was a "calculated risk." The I-boat came through for you again by disabling the patroller, but in return I had an extra LBA to put in the South Pacific (which discouraged you from sending an SNLF to invade Guadalcanal) and you don't get a shot at a carrier in Indonesia while the British fleet sinks the Kaga during the initial night action.

I'm less sure about the patrolling cruisers I sent to the Aleutians, the Japanese Islands, and the Marianas. The intent was to attract enough of your forces to leave you weak in Indonesia, South Pacific, Marshalls, and Hawaiian Islands, but you may have had to deploy against potential raids anyways (except in the Aleutians).

IJN Comments: But you did not need a LBA. 2 CA would have done the job (it was isolated by flags) and you had plenty of spare iron that just went to Marshalls.

Now if you were risking the 2 POC to get the I-Boat out of Indo, that is a fair gamble.

Well, you did not have the benefit of knowing that I had already decided 2 LBA had to hold Indo whether or not it was good odds. 2 LBA vs 3 CV and a CVL is actually more likely to work than I was to win the game going into the turn. And since the dice server was mostly dealing "5's" it kept me in the game.

The northeast attack had to succeed, which meant threatening Guadacanal to draw the extra LBA. Then ensuring CPO by using 2 SNLF. Dutch Harbor especially was every bit as important as Indo this turn - not taking it now would have meant more POC over the course of the game than the conversion of Singapore.

The lack of SNLF free meant I had to risk suicide CV in blue waters and two night rounds squelched my attempts to save western bases. If I'd tried to block in Marianas with a SNLF (or SPO, or Indo) you would have just sunk it, since you got night in all 3. Safest place for it was in CPO :-)

And the news is that I am not dead yet. Still in trouble and thrashing around, but I survived turn 4. I don't need to beat my bid, just not lose by so much that I have no hope of making it up in the second game. As long as there is a chance that Nick's effective bid (after subtracting or adding the difference from this games bid) is not going to be "Brad bids a bunch for allies" then I'll keep playing.

Heck, I can still win this one. But I'll need the cooperation of the dice as well as every trick in my book.

IJN Returns:
2x107 to Pearl Harbor
All others to Truk

USN Returns:
LBA to Samoa
British to Ceylon
From Marshalls to Samoa
From South Pacific to Guadalcanal

Situation:  Turn 4 After Combat
=======================================================================
POC RECORD       Area  IJN/USN   1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
     Japanese Islands   3   3   IJN  IJN  IJN  IJN
     Aleutian Islands   0   1   IJN  IJN  ---  ---
  North Pacific Ocean   1   1   ---  USN  ---  IJN
Central Pacific Ocean   1   0   IJN  ---  USN  IJN
     Hawaiian Islands   2   3   ---  IJN  IJN  IJN
     Marshall Islands   1   1   IJN  USN  IJN  ---
     Marianas Islands   2   1   IJN  IJN  IJN  IJN
            Indonesia   3   1   IJN  IJN  USN  IJN
  South Pacific Ocean   2   1   IJN  IJN  USN  USN
         U.S. Mandate   2   2   USN  USN  USN  USN
            Coral Sea   2   2   USN  USN  USN  ---
         Indian Ocean   2   0   USN  USN  USN  USN
        Bay of Bengal   2   1   USN  USN  USN  USN
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
         IJN Subtotal           +12  +12   +8  +12
         USN Subtotal            -5   -7   -7   -4
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
              Net POC            +7   +5   +1   +8
       Cumulative POC            +7  +12  +13  +21
=======================================================================
AREAS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Japanese Islands (3/3; IJN):
0-1-5(2+) Ryujo (r)
4-4-4 Fuso (r)
3-4-* 23 AirFlot
1-1-7 Chester [sunk]

Aleutian Islands (0/1; None):
4-3-6 Haruna (r; SR=4)
1+2-7 Atago (r)
1+2-7 Chokai (r)
1+2-7 Haguro (r)
1+2-7 Maya (r)
1+2-7 Myoko (r)
1+1-8 Chikuma (r)
1+1-8 Mikuma (r)
1+1-8 Suzuya (r)
1+1-8 Tone (r)
1-1-7 Astoria [sunk]

North Pacific Ocean (1/1; None):
1-3-8(4+) Zuikaku (r)
4-3-6 Hiei (r)
1+1-7 Aoba
1+1-7 Furutaka
1+1-7 Kako
1+1-7 Kinugasa
0-3-3 Yokosuka [invades Dutch Harbor; returns turn 6]
2-4-* 5th A.F. [retreats to Samoa]

Central Pacific Ocean (1/0; USN):
1-1-8(3+) Hiryu (r) [disabled to Truk]
4-3-6 Kongo (r)
1+2-7 Nachi
1+2-7 Takao
1+0-7 Kitakami
1+0-7 Oi
0-3-3 Kure
0-3-3 Sasebo [invades Midway; returns turn 6]
2-4-* 13th A.F. [retreats to Samoa]

Hawaiian Islands (2/3; IJN):
0-0-5(2+) Shoho (r)
6-9-5 Yamato (r)
3-4-* 25 AirFlot
1-1-7. De Ruyter [sunk]

Marshall Islands (1/1; IJN):
4-3-6 Kirishima (r) [sunk]
3-4-* 26 AirFlot [shot down; returns turn 6]
1-3-7(4+) Lexington (r) [sunk]
5-6-5 Washington (r)
4-5-3 Mississippi (r)
4-5-3 Tennessee [3d] (r; SR; goes to Samoa)
1-1-7 New Orleans (r)
1-1-7 Northampton (r)
1-1-7 Quincy (r)
1-1-7 Salt Lake City (r)
1-1-7 San Francisco (r)
1-1-7 Vincennes (r)
1-1-7. Australia [disabled to Samoa]

Marianas Islands (2/1; IJN):
4-4-4 Hyuga (r) [disabled to Truk]
3-4-* 24 AirFlot
4-5-3 Idaho (r) [retreats to Samoa]
4-5-3 New Mexico (r) [retreats to Samoa]
1-1-7 Chicago [retreats to Samoa]
1-1-7 Houston (r) [retreats to Samoa]
1-1-7 Louisville (r) [retreats to Samoa]
1-1-7 Pensacola (r) [retreats to Samoa]
1-1-7 Portland (r) [retreats to Samoa]

Indonesia (3/1; USN):
1-4-5(4+) Kaga (r) [sunk]
3-4-* 21 AirFlot [3d]
3-4-* 22 AirFlot
0-2-7(4+) Enterprise (r) [disabled to Australia]
0-2-7(4+) Hornet (r) [disabled to Australia]
0-2-6(4+) Wasp (r; SR=4) [disabled to Samoa]
0-2-7.(2) Formidable (r) [disabled to Ceylon]
5-6-5 North Carolina (r) [retreats to Philippines]
4-4-4. Valiant (SR=6; r) [retreats to Ceylon]
4-4-4. Warspite (SR=1) [retreats to Ceylon]
4-4-3. Ramillies (SR=3; r) [retreats to Ceylon]
4-4-3. Resolution (SR=4; r) [retreats to Ceylon]
4-4-3. Revenge (SR=1) [retreats to Ceylon]
4-4-3. Royal Sovereign (SR=2) [retreats to Ceylon]
1-1-7. Devonshire [retreats to Ceylon]
1-1-7. Dorsetshire [retreats to Ceylon]
1-1-7. Exeter [retreats to Ceylon]
1-1-7. Shropshire [retreats to Ceylon]
0-4-3 1st Marines [invade Philippines; return turn 6]

South Pacific Ocean (2/1; USN):
1-4-6(4+) Akagi (r) [sunk]
5+6-5 Indiana (r)
5+6-5 South Dakota (r)
0-4-3 2nd Marines [invade Lae; return turn 6]
2-4-* Marine
2-4-* RAAF

U.S. Mandate (2/2; USN):
2-4-* RNZAF

Coral Sea (2/2; USN):
1+0-* I-Boat
1-1-7 Minneapolis [disabled to Guadalcanal]

Indian Ocean (2/0; USN):
1-1-7. Cornwall

Bay of Bengal (2/1; USN):
4-5-6. Prince of Wales [3d]

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
PORTS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Yokosuka Navy Yard (6; IJN):

Truk (IJN):

Saigon (IJN):

Singapore (IJN):

Pearl Harbor (IJN):

Samoa (9; USN):

Australia (1; USN):

Ceylon (1; USN):

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
BASES
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Okinawa (IJN):

Attu (IJN):

Dutch Harbor (USN): converted to IJN control by Yokosuka SNLF

Midway (USN): converted to IJN control by Sasebo SNLF

Johnston Island (IJN):

Kwajalein (IJN):

Maloelap (IJN):

Saipan (IJN):

Philippines (IJN): converted to USN control by 1st Marines

Lae (IJN): converted to USN control by 2nd Marines

Guadalcanal (USN):

New Hebrides (USN):

Port Moresby (USN):

Andaman Islands (USN):

=======================================================================
SUNK SHIPS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Turn 1:
5-5-3 Maryland
5-5-3 West Virginia
4-5-3 California
4-4-3 Arizona
4-4-3 Nevada
4-4-3 Oklahoma
4-4-3 Pennsylvania
3-3-6. Repulse

Turn 2:
1-2-8(3+) Soryu
1-2-4(3+) Junyo
0-0-5(2+) Zuiho
0-1-4(1+) Hosho
5-5-4 Mutsu
5-5-4 Nagato
4-4-4 Yamashiro
1+1-8 Mogami
0-2-7(4+) Yorktown
1-2-4.(1) Hermes
1-1-7. Canberra

Turn 3:
1-3-8(4+) Shokaku
1-2-4(3+) Hiyo
4-4-4 Ise
1+2-7 Ashigara
1+1-8 Kumano
1-3-7(4+) Saratoga
5-5-3 Colorado
1-1-7 Indianapolis

=======================================================================

Turn 5

IJN Comments: IJN had to hold Hawaii and Marianas to have any chance at all. When you have less than a 40% chance of winning, some things are easier. I bet on a good day/night in Marianas and got it. A CA was placed in CPO to give Nick's surface ships a mission, since my chances in Marianas get considerably worse if he commits his fleet.

I hoped for another 2 LBA+I-boat vs 3 CV+CVL win, but this time the dice were on Nick's side in the Marshalls. Surface attrition continues to be a problem, as 3 LBA failed to get a hit again, giving me no compensation for the CA in CPO.

Marshalls is a 2-4 POC swing because it exposes CPO and NPO to his 2 pre-turn 6 carriers. This is probably enough to prevent me from having any chance of winning, but not enough to make me stop playing. If I can keep it close I can try to beat Nick by more next game. This will require a turn 8 victory in Japan, which is getting less likely with each round of favorable attrition that Nick manages. But I intend to make him roll the dice.

USN Report: The IJN patrolled Japanese Islands, North Pacific, and Central Pacific with single cruisers. Ten Japanese cruisers patrolled the Marianas preparing to support another invasion of the Philippines. Three of the Japanese LBA (including the damaged one) controlled the Hawaiian Islands, while the other two were placed in the Marshalls. Kure SNLF and all of the IJN raiders went to the Marianas. During a first round night action in the Marianas the Philippines were easily recaptured by the SNLF. The I-boat went to the Marshalls to shoot at an American carrier but missed this time.

The British patrolled Bay of Bengal with two slow battleships and sent Prince of Wales and two cruisers to Indonesia. Three American cruisers patrolled the Marshalls, while two American and one Australian cruiser patrolled the Hawaiian Islands. The Enterprise, Hornet, Wasp, and Victorious raided the Marshall Islands and succeeded in downing both Japanese LBA on the first round of combat. The LBA sank the Enterprise, but missed the Hornet. The 3rd Marines invaded Maloelap to provide a forward base for the surviving American carriers and the three patrolling cruisers. The three Allied cruisers in the Hawaiian Islands escaped from the Japanese LBA without loss. An American battleship and 6 cruisers raided the Central Pacific and sank the Chikuma which only disabled one of the American cruisers.

Both sides accomplished their primary objectives and controlled areas worth 8 POC. The running total remained at 21 POC in favor of the IJN. Controlling Indonesia, South Pacific, Marshalls, and U.S. Mandate gives the USN a defensible perimeter and the ability to threaten the Japanese Islands, Marianas, Central Pacific, North Pacific, and Hawaiian Islands. Recapturing the Philippines helps the IJN hold the Marianas on turn 6 since the USN will not be able to place LBA in that area.

Though the USN will have a big advantage in aircraft carriers on turn 6, most of them will start from Samoa. The USN will also have a 10 to 7 (13 to 7 counting the British) advantage in battleships, but the IJN battleships and battlecruisers are generally faster. There will be an equal number of cruisers on each side (not counting the British cruisers), but the Japanese cruisers continue to have a significant qualitative advantage.

Turn 5 Reinforcements:
IJN: 1xBB at Yokosuka Navy Yard
USN: 1xCV, 1xBB, 1xCA, 1xMarine, and 5xLBA at Samoa
British: 4xBB withdrawn

IJN Returns:
All ships with speed less than 7 to Pearl Harbor
Everything else to Truk, including returning SNLF

USN Returns:
LBA to Australia
British to Ceylon
From Indonesia to Lae: Indiana, South Dakota, North Carolina, 2x117
From South Pacific to Lae: Massachusetts, Idaho
From South Pacific to Samoa: Mississippi, New Mexico, Tennessee [3d]
From Central Pacific to Samoa: Washington, 5x117
From Marshalls to Maloelap: Hornet, Wasp, 3x117

Situation:  Turn 5 After Combat
=======================================================================
POC RECORD       Area  IJN/USN   1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
     Japanese Islands   3   3   IJN  IJN  IJN  IJN  IJN
     Aleutian Islands   0   1   IJN  IJN  ---  ---  ---
  North Pacific Ocean   1   1   ---  USN  ---  IJN  IJN
Central Pacific Ocean   1   0   IJN  ---  USN  IJN  ---
     Hawaiian Islands   2   3   ---  IJN  IJN  IJN  IJN
     Marshall Islands   1   1   IJN  USN  IJN  ---  USN
     Marianas Islands   2   1   IJN  IJN  IJN  IJN  IJN
            Indonesia   3   1   IJN  IJN  USN  IJN  USN
  South Pacific Ocean   2   1   IJN  IJN  USN  USN  USN
         U.S. Mandate   2   2   USN  USN  USN  USN  USN
            Coral Sea   2   2   USN  USN  USN  ---  USN
         Indian Ocean   2   0   USN  USN  USN  USN  USN
        Bay of Bengal   2   1   USN  USN  USN  USN  USN
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
         IJN Subtotal           +12  +12   +8  +12   +8
         USN Subtotal            -5   -7   -7   -4   -8
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
              Net POC            +7   +5   +1   +8   +0
       Cumulative POC            +7  +12  +13  +21  +21
=======================================================================
AREAS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Japanese Islands (3/3; IJN):
1+1-7 Aoba

Aleutian Islands (0/1; None):

North Pacific Ocean (1/1; IJN):
1+0-7 Oi

Central Pacific Ocean (1/0; IJN):
1+1-8 Chikuma [sunk]
5-6-5 Washington (r; SR=3)
1-1-7 New Orleans (r) [disabled to Australia]
1-1-7 Northampton (r)
1-1-7 Pensacola (r)
1-1-7 Portland (r)
1-1-7 Salt Lake City (r)
1-1-7 San Francisco (r)

Hawaiian Islands (2/3; IJN):
3-4-* 21 AirFlot [3d]
3-4-* 22 AirFlot
3-4-* 23 AirFlot
1-1-7 Vincennes [retreats to Australia]
1-1-7 Wichita [disabled to Australia]
1-1-7. Australia [retreats to Samoa]

Marshall Islands (1/1; None):
3-4-* 24 AirFlot [shot down; returns turn 7]
3-4-* 25 AirFlot [shot down; returns turn 7]
1+0-* I-Boat
0-2-7(4+) Enterprise (r) [sunk]
0-2-7(4+) Hornet (r)
0-2-6(4+) Wasp (r)
0-2-7.(2) Victorious (r)
1-1-7 Chicago
1-1-7 Houston
1-1-7 Louisville
0-4-3 3rd Marines [invades Maloelap; retuns turn 7]

Marianas Islands (2/1; IJN):
1-3-8(4+) Zuikaku (r)
1-1-8(3+) Hiryu (r)
0-1-5(2+) Ryujo (r)
0-0-5(2+) Shoho (r)
6-9-5 Musashi (r)
6-9-5 Yamato (r)
4-4-4 Fuso (r)
4-4-4 Hyuga (r)
4-3-6 Haruna (r)
4-3-6 Hiei (r)
4-3-6 Kongo (r)
1+2-7 Atago
1+2-7 Chokai
1+2-7 Haguro
1+2-7 Maya
1+2-7 Myoko
1+2-7 Nachi
1+2-7 Takao
1+1-8 Mikuma (r)
1+1-8 Suzuya (r)
1+1-8 Tone (r)
1+1-7 Furutaka
1+1-7 Kako
1+1-7 Kinugasa
1+0-7 Kitakami (r)
0-3-3 Kure [invades Philippines; returns turn 7]
2-4-* 13th A.F. [retreats to Australia]
2-4-* 14th A.F. [retreats to Australia]

Indonesia (3/1; IJN):
0-2-7.(2) Formidable (r)
5+6-5 Indiana (r)
5+6-5 South Dakota (r)
5-6-5 North Carolina (r)
4-5-6. Prince of Wales [3d] (SR=4; r)
1-1-7 Minneapolis (r)
1-1-7 Quincy (r)
1-1-7. Devonshire
1-1-7. Dorsetshire
1-1-7. Exeter (r)
1-1-7. Shropshire (r)
2-4-* 5th A.F.
2-4-* 7th A.F.
2-4-* 10th A.F.
2-4-* 11th A.F.

South Pacific Ocean (2/1; USN):
2-4-* Naval
2-4-* Marine
5+6-5 Massachusetts (r)
4-5-3 Idaho (r)
4-5-3 Mississippi (r)
4-5-3 New Mexico (r)
4-5-3 Tennessee [3d] (r)

U.S. Mandate (2/2; USN):
2-4-* RNZAF

Coral Sea (2/2; None):
2-4-* RAAF

Indian Ocean (2/0; USN):
1-1-7. Cornwall

Bay of Bengal (2/1; USN):
4-4-3. Ramillies
4-4-3. Royal Sovereign

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
PORTS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Yokosuka Navy Yard (6; IJN):

Truk (IJN):

Saigon (IJN):

Singapore (IJN):

Pearl Harbor (IJN):

Samoa (12; USN):

Australia (1; USN):

Ceylon (1; USN):

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
BASES
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Okinawa (IJN):

Attu (IJN):

Dutch Harbor (IJN):

Midway (IJN):

Johnston Island (IJN):

Kwajalein (IJN):

Maloelap (IJN): converted to USN control by 3rd Marines

Saipan (IJN):

Philippines (USN): converted to IJN control by Kure SNLF

Lae (USN):

Guadalcanal (USN):

New Hebrides (USN):

Port Moresby (USN):

Andaman Islands (USN):

=======================================================================
SUNK SHIPS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Turn 1:
5-5-3 Maryland
5-5-3 West Virginia
4-5-3 California
4-4-3 Arizona
4-4-3 Nevada
4-4-3 Oklahoma
4-4-3 Pennsylvania
3-3-6. Repulse

Turn 2:
1-2-8(3+) Soryu
1-2-4(3+) Junyo
0-0-5(2+) Zuiho
0-1-4(1+) Hosho
5-5-4 Mutsu
5-5-4 Nagato
4-4-4 Yamashiro
1+1-8 Mogami
0-2-7(4+) Yorktown
1-2-4.(1) Hermes
1-1-7. Canberra

Turn 3:
1-3-8(4+) Shokaku
1-2-4(3+) Hiyo
4-4-4 Ise
1+2-7 Ashigara
1+1-8 Kumano
1-3-7(4+) Saratoga
5-5-3 Colorado
1-1-7 Indianapolis

Turn 4:
1-4-6(4+) Akagi
1-4-5(4+) Kaga
4-3-6 Kirishima
1-3-7(4+) Lexington
1-1-7 Astoria
1-1-7 Chester
1-1-7. De Ruyter

=======================================================================

Turn 6

USN Report: On turn 6 the Japanese battleships, escorted by 2 light carriers, patrolled the Hawaiian Islands. The British Navy patrolled Indonesia hoping to finally recapture Singapore. One very brave American cruiser patrolled the Marianas in the face of 16 IJN cruisers at Truk. Only 1 Japanese LBA was placed in the Japanese Islands while 3 others were sent to the Hawaiian Islands. The Allied LBA was placed in Bay of Bengal (1), Coral Sea (1), U.S. Mandate (1), South Pacific (2), Indonesia (3), and Marshalls (2). The Japanese SNLF were transported to the Marshalls for burial at sea, the 1st Marines returned to Indonesia to repeat their invasion of the Philippines, and the 2nd and 4th Marines went to the Marshalls to prepare for assault landings in colder climates.

The 2 fast IJN carriers and 15 of the cruisers joined their comrades in the Hawaiian Islands as raiders. Only the Atago dared oppose the Americans in the Marianas. The Hornet and Wasp sortied boldly into the Japanese Islands to raid Tokyo. A mixed force composed of the Essex, an escort carrier, two battleships, and another cruiser went to the Marshalls to dispose of the Atago. All of the other American ships and the Australia raided the Marshalls to conduct live ammunition exercises. The targets were the unfortunate Sasebo and Yokosuka SNLF.

On the first round of comat, the Wasp shot down the 26 AirFlot over Japan, the Atago was sunk by an airstrike from the Essex, and the SNLF were sunk by numerous hits from the Allied battleships and cruisers in the Marshalls. In return the Wasp was disabled to Samoa. With the Emperor's life endangered by the bombing of Tokyo, the Japanese War Ministry offered to surrender unconditionally to avoid further bloodshed. The Allied powers accepted the surrender on board the Hornet.

At the end of turn 6 the POC total would be only 14 in favor of the IJN as the USN controlled areas worth 9 POC this turn (and the IJN only controlled the Hawaiian Islands). The high attrition of IJN carriers (especially on turns 2, 3, and 4) and the relatively low attrition of USN carriers and other Allied vessels (except for the initial losses at Pearl Harbor) allowed the USN to outmanuever the IJN this time.

IJN Comments: What I wanted to do was give you a gambit in Hawaii but you did not patrol heavily enough. So I was forced to use LBA. In fact the odds looked bad enough that I was encouraged to send out bait to give your fleet a mission.

USN Comments: I was expecting you to put your whole fleet in the Hawaiian Islands but not with so many LBA. I would have put two LBA in the Japanese Islands instead of only one (that would have kept the two American carriers out). Also, you could have held the North Pacific with LBA to control another POC.

The way you deployed your forces kept your fleet intact and kept me out of the Hawaiian Islands, but it gave up just about everything else. With the 26 AirFlot shot down in the Japanese Islands, the SNLF sunk in the Marshalls, and the Atago sunk in the Marianas, the USN gains 7 POC which is a big bonus on turn 6.

Turn 6 Reinforcements/Returns
IJN: Sasebo SNLF, Yokosuka SNLF, 26 AirFlot at Truk
USN: 5+65, 3x137(4+), 5x027(2+), 2x127, 4th Marines at Samoa
USN: 1st Marines at Australia, 2nd Marines at Samoa
British: Victorious withdrawn

=============================================
Units Remaining at the End of Turn 6         
---------------------------------------------
Side  CVs  CVLs  BBs  BCs  CAs  CLs  LBA  NLF
---------------------------------------------
IJN    2    2     4    3   13    2    3    0 
---------------------------------------------
USN    5    5    10    0   15    1   10    2 
---------------------------------------------
RN     1    0     3    0    5    0    0    0 
=============================================

=======================================================================
POC RECORD       Area  IJN/USN   1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
     Japanese Islands   3   3   IJN  IJN  IJN  IJN  IJN  ---
     Aleutian Islands   0   1   IJN  IJN  ---  ---  ---  ---
  North Pacific Ocean   1   1   ---  USN  ---  IJN  IJN  ---
Central Pacific Ocean   1   0   IJN  ---  USN  IJN  ---  ---
     Hawaiian Islands   2   3   ---  IJN  IJN  IJN  IJN  IJN
     Marshall Islands   1   1   IJN  USN  IJN  ---  USN  USN
     Marianas Islands   2   1   IJN  IJN  IJN  IJN  IJN  USN
            Indonesia   3   1   IJN  IJN  USN  IJN  USN  USN
  South Pacific Ocean   2   1   IJN  IJN  USN  USN  USN  USN
         U.S. Mandate   2   2   USN  USN  USN  USN  USN  USN
            Coral Sea   2   2   USN  USN  USN  ---  USN  USN
         Indian Ocean   2   0   USN  USN  USN  USN  USN  ---
        Bay of Bengal   2   1   USN  USN  USN  USN  USN  USN
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
         IJN Subtotal           +12  +12   +8  +12   +8   +2
         USN Subtotal            -5   -7   -7   -4   -8   -9
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
              Net POC            +7   +5   +1   +8   +0   -7
       Cumulative POC            +7  +12  +13  +21  +21  +14
=======================================================================
AREAS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Japanese Islands (3/3; IJN):
3-4-* 26 AirFlot [shot down; returns turn 8]
1+0-* I-Boat
0-2-7(4+) Hornet (r)
0-2-6(4+) Wasp (r, SR=4) [disabled to Samoa]

Aleutian Islands (0/1; None):

North Pacific Ocean (1/1; IJN):

Central Pacific Ocean (1/0; None):

Hawaiian Islands (2/3; IJN):
1-3-8(4+) Zuikaku (r)
1-1-8(3+) Hiryu (r)
0-1-5(2+) Ryujo
0-0-5(2+) Shoho
6-9-5 Musashi
6-9-5 Yamato
4-4-4 Fuso
4-4-4 Hyuga
4-3-6 Haruna
4-3-6 Hiei
4-3-6 Kongo
1+2-7 Chokai (r)
1+2-7 Haguro (r)
1+2-7 Maya (r)
1+2-7 Myoko (r)
1+2-7 Nachi (r)
1+2-7 Takao (r)
1+1-8 Mikuma (r)
1+1-8 Suzuya (r)
1+1-8 Tone (r)
1+1-7 Aoba (r)
1+1-7 Furutaka (r)
1+1-7 Kako (r)
1+1-7 Kinugasa (r)
1+0-7 Kitakami (r)
1+0-7 Oi (r)
3-4-* 21 AirFlot [3d]
3-4-* 22 AirFlot
3-4-* 23 AirFlot

Marshall Islands (1/1; USN):
0-3-3 Sasebo [sunk; returns turn 8]
0-3-3 Yokosuka [sunk; returns turn 8]
1-3-7(4+) CV 10 (r)
1-3-7(4+) CV 16 (r)
0-2-7(2+) Cowpens (r)
0-2-7(2+) Independence (r)
0-2-7(2+) Monterey (r)
0-2-7(2+) Princeton (r)
5+6-5 Alabama (r)
5+6-5 Indiana (r)
5+6-5 South Dakota (r)
5-6-5 Washington (r)
4-5-3 Idaho (r)
4-5-3 Mississippi (r)
4-5-3 New Mexico (r)
4-5-3 Tennessee [3d] (r)
1-2-7 Baltimore (r)
1-2-7 Boston (r)
1-1-7 Chicago (r)
1-1-7 Houston (r)
1-1-7 Louisville (r)
1-1-7 New Orleans (r)
1-1-7 Northampton (r)
1-1-7 Pensacola (r)
1-1-7 Portland (r)
1-1-7 Salt Lake City (r)
1-1-7 San Francisco (r)
1-1-7 Vincennes (r)
1-1-7 Wichita (r)
1-1-7. Australia (r)
0-4-3 2nd Marines
0-4-3 4th Marines
2-4-* 13th A.F.
2-4-* 14th A.F.

Marianas Islands (2/1; IJN):
1+2-7 Atago (r) [sunk]
1-3-7(4+) Essex (r)
0-2-7(2+) Belleau Wood (r)
5+6-5 Massachusetts (r)
5-6-5 North Carolina (r)
1-1-7 Minneapolis
1-1-7 Quincy (r)

Indonesia (3/1; USN):
0-2-7.(2) Formidable
4-5-6. Prince of Wales [3d] (SR=1)
4-4-3. Ramillies (SR=1)
4-4-3. Royal Sovereign (SR=5, r)
1-1-7. Cornwall
1-1-7. Devonshire
1-1-7. Dorsetshire
1-1-7. Exeter
1-1-7. Shropshire
0-4-3 1st Marines [invades Philippines; returns turn 8]
2-4-* 7th A.F.
2-4-* 10th A.F.
2-4-* 11th A.F.

South Pacific Ocean (2/1; USN):
2-4-* Marine
2-4-* 5th A.F.

U.S. Mandate (2/2; USN):
2-4-* RNZAF

Coral Sea (2/2; USN):
2-4-* RAAF

Indian Ocean (2/0; USN):

Bay of Bengal (2/1; USN):
2-4-* Naval

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
PORTS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Yokosuka Navy Yard (6; IJN):

Truk (IJN):

Saigon (IJN): converted to USN control by isolation

Singapore (IJN): converted to USN control by isolation

Pearl Harbor (IJN):

Samoa (15; USN):

Australia (1; USN):

Ceylon (1; USN):

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
BASES
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Okinawa (IJN):

Attu (IJN):

Dutch Harbor (IJN):

Midway (IJN):

Johnston Island (IJN):

Kwajalein (IJN): converted to USN control by isolation

Maloelap (USN):

Saipan (IJN):

Philippines (IJN): converted to USN control by 1st Marines

Lae (USN):

Guadalcanal (USN):

New Hebrides (USN):

Port Moresby (USN):

Andaman Islands (USN):

=======================================================================
SUNK SHIPS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Turn 1:
5-5-3 Maryland
5-5-3 West Virginia
4-5-3 California
4-4-3 Arizona
4-4-3 Nevada
4-4-3 Oklahoma
4-4-3 Pennsylvania
3-3-6. Repulse

Turn 2:
1-2-8(3+) Soryu
1-2-4(3+) Junyo
0-0-5(2+) Zuiho
0-1-4(1+) Hosho
5-5-4 Mutsu
5-5-4 Nagato
4-4-4 Yamashiro
1+1-8 Mogami
0-2-7(4+) Yorktown
1-2-4.(1) Hermes
1-1-7. Canberra

Turn 3:
1-3-8(4+) Shokaku
1-2-4(3+) Hiyo
4-4-4 Ise
1+2-7 Ashigara
1+1-8 Kumano
1-3-7(4+) Saratoga
5-5-3 Colorado
1-1-7 Indianapolis

Turn 4:
1-4-6(4+) Akagi
1-4-5(4+) Kaga
4-3-6 Kirishima
1-3-7(4+) Lexington
1-1-7 Astoria
1-1-7 Chester
1-1-7. De Ruyter

Turn 5:
1+1-8 Chikuma
0-2-7(4+) Enterprise

End Game Commentary

IJN Comments: 14 POC this turn.

That's what I needed turn 7 to have a chance of winning. I would have kept playing with the additional 3 POC for Japan, but I really wanted 1-2 points more. Marshalls holding turn 5 was what I really needed to stay in the game. I was hoping for an error this turn, to be perfectly frank. Out of curiosity if I had put a second LBA in Japan, would you have tested Hawaii? In hindsight I think one LBA was an error, but only if you would have stayed out of Hawaii anyway.

Even if I win the turn 8 battle in Japan (which is by no means certain) and keep you from getting a base near Aleutians, my POC count is goint to be about -4. I don't think I have a realistic chance of winning with an allied bid of 4 (and it could well be allies -10!)

So I'm going to stop the bleeding. When I play you again I want you to have to worry about the bid. Congrats. You got a bit of an advantage turn 2 and kept the pressure on until I cracked. Only that Coral Sea patrol gave me anything for free.

Alternately, if you are curious as to the final score, we can do one more thing. I will assume that you patrol properly turn 7, and put everything in Japanese Islands. We can then dice out the turn 8 battle - but you will be long both air and sea so only bad luck vs LBA will prevent the bid from going to -10. I'm willing to contribute to the final body count - might make me feel better if I beat you by -5 in October.

If you go this route be sure to take the turn 7 F-Boat shot.

USN Comments: I did my basing at the end of turn 5 with the intention of challenging your whole fleet in the Hawaiian Islands on turn 6. For that purpose I moved 3 of the slower battleships back to Samoa and caculated my chances of successfully speed rolling at least 2 of the 4 faster battleships from Lae to the Hawaiian Islands. However, I really don't like to fight big battles against the IJN cruisers without a significant advantage (say 50% more cruiser hulls or several extra bonus battlewagons).

So I would probably have gone to the Hawaiian Islands only if you put at least two LBA in the Japanese Islands and did not send the SNLF out to threaten my bases. Of course with only 1 LBA in the Japanese Islands, the SNLF in the Marshalls, and the Atago in the Marianas, I didn't give the Hawaiian Islands a second thought.

Actually, I held back from patrolling the Hawaiian Islands hoping that you would split your fleet or present me with opportunities elsewhere. You didn't split your fleet, but probably concentrated too heavily in Hawaii (placing 3 LBA there). It made sense for me to delay the big battle since the turn 7 reinforcements would add considerably to my strength (especially in CVs, but also CVLs, BBs, and CAs). Also, I wanted to advance my Marines to capture Midway on turn 7 and be in position to control the North Pacific and Aleutians on turn 8.

Fortunately for me the POC total was only 21 in your favor and I was likely to control at least 8 POC (even without the Hawaiian Islands). Even if you controlled 5 POC this turn, the cumulative total would go down to 18 or 17 POC, and then probably down by another 9 POC next turn. So I no longer needed to take big risks to win the game.

My attempt to control Indonesia on turn 4 failed, but it was definitely worth a try because of the tremendous payoff. Breaking your control of the Marshalls that turn helped crack open your defenses. Controlling the Marshalls on turn 6 and capturing a base there left your rear areas vulnerable to attack.

This was an interesting game of maneuver by both sides. I don't really want to fight a big battle just to see what the final POC count might be. I think the most likely outcome is that on turn 7 the USN would gain 9 POC (12 vs. 3) and on turn 8 the USN would gain 14 POC (though it could be 11 or 17 depending on the dice). So I would call it a 9 POC victory for the Allies.

Thanks for an interesting game! I look forward to another one in October. Best wishes on your wedding and trip to Europe!

IJN Comments: I concur on your analysis. The turn 8 battle was a very long shot. The cruiser and SNLF were to cause exactly the result they got - your fleet away from Hawaii. With that, though, I should have weakened Hawaii more. I bet with one LBA you would have come in.

I look back over the game and you got the kind of little bits of good luck that add up to a won game if you play carefully. Marshalls turn 4, both CV sunk and marines landed on turn 4. Those trumped my Indo and I-boat results. Night in CPO turn 2 plus bad shooting with LBA the entire game. Endless "I disable your cruising patroller while you sink my BB patroller" although some of that was due to opportunities opened by your CV. I've got 15 games that say those results tend to even out on hulls, if not on ship quality. I was shocked to be down an average of 4 hulls (depending on speed rolls) in Hawaii turn 6.

But as you say it was a very fun positional game. It was enjoyable trying to find some way to make you take risks when any gamble for me over 30% could only improve my chances to win. And if you were just a bit weaker those moves might have won me another game. 1 CV was what I felt I needed to sink turn 2 beyond what I did. Every turn I felt that 1 less CV would have made the turn a solid move instead of a calculated gamble. So I will continue to try and get 2 CV sunk turn 2.

I look forward to playing as USN. I've seen enough now. I feel I'm ready to give IJN hell :-) Playing a lot of Germans in WAS is making me appreciate being the person who reacts and stabs at openings. In many ways it is less stressful than plotting the perfect positional game.


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